IMPA
Performance
Records
-
1993
- 1998 Five year
IMPA Performance Review
*
The above IMPA studies are electronic evaluations (review) of
our core IMPA position trading system. This system identifies
large longer-term trend changes in the market place (45 markets).
Additional timing criteria (not reflected in these studies) helps
reduce the number of smaller losses. Likewise however, its
critical that the rules for position management are followed in
order to achieve the large gains necessary to show profit after the
smaller losses are paid. All systems have losses, whether short-term
or long-term, and the key with this system and any system for that
matter, is to manage losses and profits efficiently, as both
are realities with all trading strategies and/or systems!
Furthermore, with all position trading systems, the key is to
identify crucial turning points in advance. These are the major
turning points that have the capability and probability to produce
new significant (large) trends! The large trends provide the
most return (profit) for the risk. Its important to understand
risk as well as profit potential before entering any trade. To much
of the time new traders are more focused on the profit potential
versus the risk. A critical element of our entry techniques involves
identifying and measuring risk upfront. The logical stop (which is
how we contain risk) determines the risk of entering a position
using our methods. If that risk outweighs the potential
profit, then we do not take that trade.
Our IMPA has an excellent history in identifying major market turns
in advance! For instance, click
here to see my report on the Nasdaq top in 2000! The IMPA
identified this top and major turn in advance as you can see in this
report! However, because of the leading characteristics of the
IMPA (anticipating turns) it tends to be early. That's a good
characteristic overall as its far better to be early than late, but
of course timing is critical as well due to the leverage involved in
futures! Therefore, it is important to combine other
traditional technical measures (such as moving averages and other
proprietary pattern specific measures) with the IMPA. These
traditional technical measures are all derived from the price
history (short and long term). The technical measures naturally lag
the actual movement in the market. This lag time when combined with
the leading characteristics of the IMPA provides the basis for our
position trading approach. The combining of our leading fundamental
measures (IMPA) with lagging technical based measures (specific
moving averages) are crucial elements of IMPA position trading
system. The other crucial element is the most elusive and
difficult to track over time. These are the patterns. Patterns
tend neither to lag or lead as they form real time and are often
subjective. Previous patterns can not be tracked very well in
the historical performance (through back-testing). Therefore
these measures (patterns) are not included in the above IMPA
studies. Please keep that in mind when reviewing those studies. The
addition of our pattern recognition improves the overall performance
of our core IMPA measures by improving timing.
|